The Accuracy of Agoro Carbon’s Soil Organic Carbon Measurement

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Research Brief

Background

The integrity of a carbon credit depends on accurate measurement of the associated emission reductions or removals, as this directly affects its value and credibility.

For a soil carbon credit to be considered high-quality, it is essential that the carbon sequestration and emissions reductions resulting from regenerative agriculture practices—undertaken by farmers and ranchers—are precisely measured.

Agoro Carbon’s Approach to Ensure Accurate Soil Carbon Measurements

Measuring soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks in agricultural fields presents significant challenges due to the inherent spatial and temporal variability across landscapes. This variability is influenced by factors like topography, soil type, vegetation cover, etc. Additionally, some uncertainties are associated with the methods used for sampling design, soil sampling collection and analysis, which can introduce errors if not well controlled. To address and minimize these uncertainties, Agoro Carbon’s uses scientifically rigorous methods according to Verra’s VM0042 methodology for its SOC measurements.

Soil organic carbon is traditionally measured by taking soil samples from the grower’s land. These soil samples may only represent a small fraction of a larger field, and soil properties can vary from one part of the field to another. Thus in order to ensure the most accurate estimate of a field’s soil organic carbon stocks, it is imperative to have a well-structured protocol for soil sampling.

To account for landscape variability, Agoro Carbon uses stratified random sampling design to assign soil sampling locations. This approach uses state of the art statistical models, aerial photos with 60-cm spatial resolution, multitemporal satellite imagery, digital elevation model, and climate geospatial data layers to subdivide or stratify variable fields into homogeneous zones or strata. Then, sampling points are randomly assigned to each zone to meet our accuracy target. This approach has been proven to significantly reduce the potential of bias and increase the reliability of SOC stock estimates. 

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Fig 1. MoE distribution histogram of all 53 growers at a Confidence level of 95%
Fig 2. MoE distribution histogram of all 53 growers at a Confidence level of 90%
The Data Team
The Data Team
John Pullis, Susan Wang, Mehedy Hassan, Thomas Pudil, Adri Chamorro, Katy Miles, Austyn Sanchez, Rodrigo Miranda, Fugui Wang
Agoro Carbon’s Data Team comprises three unique but intricately tied professionals who work together to understand the impact of newly adopted regenerative agriculture practices on soil organic carbon (SOC) levels. The stratification group is responsible for using scientifically proven tools and datasets to understand the specific characteristics of the land enrolled program and help determine the number of and specific placement of locations for soil samples to be collected in order to fully and accurately represent the SOC levels of growers’ soils. The soil sampling group then takes this information. It is tasked with the logistical operations surrounding the collection and analysis of these soil samples in order to determine SOC levels during different phases of the project.  This collected data and the specific management data of each enrolled grower are then used by the modeling group, in conjunction with research findings from around the country and the world, to determine the full impact of carbon practices on current and future SOC levels on a grower-by-grower basis.
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